Carbon Transition Model (CTM)

The Carbon Transition Model (CTM) is a tool to explore pathways to zero emissions for the Dutch industry as well as future industries that produce synthetic molecules (from carbon, water and electricity). Industrial activity is modelled according to historic public data and has been validated. The user can explore a future year by making changes to a reference ‘base year’ scenario. The model then provides information on changes to emissions, costs, energy and feedstock, technology choices, infrastructure and much more.

The model covers the entire Dutch industry. The largest energy intensive industrial sites are modelled using a bottom-up approach. This includes steel, refineries, fertilizer plants, large base chemical plants including steam crackers, industrial gases and methanol production, some inorganic chemical plants for salt, chlorine and petrochemical catalyst production as well as waste incineration plants. The remainder of Dutch industry has been modelled using a top-down approach based on national energy statistics and site specific emission data.

The model gives information about these industries at the national level (The Netherlands), industry sector level, cluster level (Rotterdam, Zeeland, Groningen, Noordzee Kanaalgebied, Chemelot and Cluster 6) and site level.

For more information, see the CTM documentation